NEWS TRADING

Welcome to our News Trading guide, and tips.  Information posted here is not a recommendation to BUY or SELL any currency. Traders should be aware of the extreme volatility in News Trading, and therefore trade the news with serious caution. Please see our Disclaimer Notice.

Week 3 Feb, 2016

This week comes alive with tough economic events scheduled to take place in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, US, & UK. It's a week that will be filled with opportunities and surprises. We've put together the necessary guide you need to succeed. Wish you a pipfull outcome. 

NB: See our summary analysis of our news trading results in 2015. Click Here

Mon 15th Feb, 2016 [NZD - Retail Sales q/q] Event Time: 4:45pm EST | 10:45pm GMT +1

The last quarter 2015 retail sales is expected (forecast) to come out 1.2% lesser than the previous. Following the recent economic developments in the previous months and week, the result will generate lots of concern for future speculations on the New Zealand Dollar being a perfect match for the USD.

News Trade Type/Method: Normal(Mild Spike)/Market Order; Pending Order; Straddling Past Review: Previous performance has been quiet good with only one negative encounter in the 2nd quarter's report. Recent outcome was positive at 1.6% against a forecast of 0.1%   Recommendation: BUY NZD if the actual comes at 1.9%. SELL if it comes out lower at 0.9% Recommended Pairs: NZDUSD, NZDJPY, EURNZD, NZDCHF Get Actual News Release Result Directly On Your Trading Platform: Download FX Pulse 4.0 (FREE) Tweet

Tue 16th Feb, 2016 [UK - CPI y/y]

Event Time: 4:30am EST | 10:30am GMT +1

UK's CPI y/y will definitely impact on the value of the GBP

in the short term depending on today's result. The British Pound will be under serious strain this week due to other important upcoming data release. It is possible to see clearer decisions from the BOE after this report because this date is considered as UK's most important inflation data which the Bank of England uses to fix inflation target. A good result will create positive sentiment against a possible rate hike while the reverse will be the case.

News Trade Type/Method: Normal/Market Order; Pending Order; Straddling

Past Review: This data started on a good note this year with a positive outcome at 1.2% against a forecast of 0.1%
 
Recommendation: BUY GBP if the actual comes at within 0.5% upwards. SELL if it comes out lower at 0.1% downwards.

Recommended Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPJPY, EURGBP, GBPCHF, GBPCAD

Get Actual News Release Result Directly On Your Trading Platform: Download FX Pulse 4.0 (FREE)

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Thur 18th Feb, 2016 [AUD - Empl. Change/Unem Rate]

Event Time: 7:30pm EST | 1:30am GMT +1

The all important Australian job marker report will be unveiled during the early hours today (night-time EST). Reports of this pedigree creates lots of volatility and room for profits. We expect the value of the Australian Dollar to be impacted greatly after the news release because job market report displays a majority of overall economic activity, which is a tool used by investors to weigh decisions of investing in an economy.

News Trade Type/Method: Normal(Sharp Spike)/Market Order; Pending Order; Straddling

Past Review: Job performance has been very good lately. Recent outcome was positive at -1.0K against a forecast of -11.0K with an upward review from 71.4K to 74.9K. Unemployment rate has been on the downside as well.
 
Recommendation: This is a very curious event which will cause spread widening prior to the news release so trade cautiously. BUY AUD if the Employment Change increases to 42.9K, and the Unemployment Rate reduces to 5.7% or remains at 5.8%. SELL if the Employment Change reduces to -17.1K and the Unemployment Rate increases to 5.9% or remains at 5.8%

Recommended Pairs: AUDUSD, AUDJPY, EURAUD, AUDCHF

Get Actual News Release Result Directly On Your Trading Platform: Download FX Pulse 4.0 (FREE)

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Fri 19th Feb, 2016 [UK - Retail Sales m/m]

Event Time: 4:30am EST | 10:30am GMT +1

The true economic performance of the UK will again be tested via the current Retail Sales performance. Following the last data on CPI, today's outcome will either add or  spoil investor confidence for the British Pound. 

News Trade Type/Method: Normal/Market Order; Pending Order; Straddling

Past Review: This data started on a negative note this year with a dismal performance of -1.0% against a forecast of -0.1%
 
Recommendation: BUY GBD if we get an improvement on the actual at 1.3%. SELL if it comes out at 0.3%

Recommended Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPJPY, EURGBP, GBPCHF, GBPCAD

Get Actual News Release Result Directly On Your Trading Platform: Download FX Pulse 4.0 (FREE)

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Fri 19th Feb, 2016 [CAD - Core Retail Sales m/m | Core CPI m/m]

Event Time: 8:30am EST | 2:30pm GMT +1

The Canadian Core Retail Sales news release is scheduled together with the Core CPI m/m, and the US Core CPI m/m as well. The program schedule will definitely keep the market at its toes since both data are very crucial. Trading this report requires lots of skills. Therefore it's advisable to concentrate on one while watching the other result due to the effect that can spill over the other data. What's obvious is that the Canadian Dollar will be on the hot table.

News Trade Type/Method: Normal(Sharp Spike)/Market Order; Pending Order; Straddling

Past Review: The Core CPI performed badly in the recent encounter, while the Core Retail Sales performed well after a long streak of negative outcomes. 
 
Recommendation: Trading this report requires lots of skills. In recent times both data has not come out the same (i.e. either one is positive and the other negative). This makes it difficult to take a decision. Study the market carefully before jumping in. 

BUY CAD if the Core CPI comes out at 0.3% upwards (preferably 0.5%) and the Core Retail Sales comes at -0.2% upwards (preferably 0.0%).  

SELL if the Core CPI comes out at 0.0% downward (preferably -0.1%) and the Core Retail Sales comes at -1.0% downwards

Recommended Pairs: NZDCAD, CADJPY, EURCAD, GBPCAD

Get Actual News Release Result Directly On Your Trading Platform: Download FX Pulse 4.0 (FREE)

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Fri 19th Feb, 2016 [US - Core CPI m/m]

Event Time: 8:30am EST | 2:30pm GMT +1

The US Core CPI is expected to improve to 0.2% from 0.1%. This data is quiet interesting due to the fact that it is closely watched by the FOMC which they use to guage inflation and interest rates. Keep in mind that the US FOMC clearly gave a date for possible rate tinkering so this report will definitely create some stir in the market. 

News Trade Type/Method: Normal/Market Order; Pending Order; Straddling

Past Review: The Core CPI started on a negative note this year with 0.1% against a forecast of 0.2%. 
 
Recommendation: Due to the scheduling of this release alongside the Canadian events do not pair the USD with CAD. BUY USD if the Core CPI comes out at 0.4% SELL if the Core CPI comes out lower at 0.0%. Please note that a difference of +1/-1 can create some impact

Recommended Pairs: NZDUSD, USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF

Get Actual News Release Result Directly On Your Trading Platform: Download FX Pulse 4.0 (FREE)

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These are the high impact news release to watch out for in the 3rd week of February, 2016.